Deportivo Alavés II 61%Draw 26%Gernika 13%Expected goals 2.37 – 1.13
87%
Betarazi pick
Deportivo Alavés II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Alavés II to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Alavés II to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceDeportivo Alavés II or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Deportivo Alavés II against Gernika. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Alavés II are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 10 matches; Gernika are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Deportivo Alavés II, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Portugalete, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Gernika, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sestao River, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Deportivo Alavés II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Gernika.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Gernika 0–0 Deportivo Alavés II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Alavés II 2.4 xG, Gernika 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Alavés II 61%, draw 26%, Gernika 13%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Alavés II or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Alavés II to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Alavés II or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Alavés II 2–1 Gernika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Alavés II61%fair 1.64 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.90
Gernika13%fair 7.69 · @3.90
3.50Expected goals
2.37Deportivo Alavés II xG
1.13Gernika xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Alavés II 2.4 – 1.1 Gernika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika?
Our pick is Deportivo Alavés II or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika?
On our numbers Deportivo Alavés II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gernika 13%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Alavés II 2–1 Gernika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika?
Deportivo Alavés II vs Gernika (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
