Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultBergantiños to win ✗49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Arosa vs Bergantiños: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bergantiños travel to face Arosa on Sunday 11 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Arosa are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Bergantiños are 4th (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Arosa, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ourense CF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Bergantiños, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Coruxo, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bergantiños, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Arosa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arosa 1.5 xG, Bergantiños 2.1 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arosa 28%, draw 23%, Bergantiños 49%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arosa 1–2 Bergantiños. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arosa28%fair 3.63 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Bergantiños49%fair 2.03 · @2.25
3.60Expected goals
1.53Arosa xG
2.07Bergantiños xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–26%
From our goals model: Arosa 1.5 – 2.1 Bergantiños expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bergantiños to win✗
49%
2.03
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Bergantiños (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Arosa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
First team to score
Bergantiños to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Bergantiños ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bergantiños / FT Bergantiños✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Arosa – last 6
DLDLDW
4 Oct
@ Ourense CF
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés II
2–5
L
19 Sep
@ Basconia
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Gernika
0–4
L
6 Sep
@ Amorebieta
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Pontevedra
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bergantiños – last 6
WWWLWW
4 Oct
vs Coruxo
3–1
W
27 Sep
vs Portugalete
3–2
W
20 Sep
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ UD Santa Marta
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Amorebieta
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Leioa
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arosa and Bergantiños.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Arosa vs Bergantiños?
On our numbers Arosa have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bergantiños 49%.
How many goals will there be in Arosa vs Bergantiños?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arosa vs Bergantiños?
Our predicted score is Arosa 1–2 Bergantiños, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Arosa vs Bergantiños?
Arosa vs Bergantiños (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
