Value bet: Utebo to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUtebo to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.59
Barbastro vs Utebo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 brings Barbastro against Utebo. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Barbastro are 12th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Utebo are 10th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Barbastro, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Náxara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Utebo, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Reddis, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barbastro 1.0 xG, Utebo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barbastro 37%, draw 24%, Utebo 39%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Utebo to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barbastro 1–1 Utebo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barbastro37%fair 2.69 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Utebo39%fair 2.59 · @2.90
2.00Expected goals
0.99Barbastro xG
1.01Utebo xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Barbastro 1.0 – 1.0 Utebo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utebo to win✗
39%
2.59
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.95
Draw no bet
Utebo (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Barbastro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Utebo to score first
44%
2.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.59
–
Recent results
Barbastro – last 6
DLDWLW
27 Sep
@ Náxara
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Barcelona B
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Terrassa
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Girona II
4–3
W
22 Aug
@ Huesca
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Atlètic Lleida
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Utebo – last 6
LWDDLL
27 Sep
vs Reddis
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Olot
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs SD Logroñés
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Peña Sport
1–1
D
17 May
@ Águilas
1–2
L
3 May
@ Sestao River
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barbastro and Utebo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Barbastro vs Utebo?
On our numbers Barbastro have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Utebo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Barbastro vs Utebo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barbastro vs Utebo?
Our predicted score is Barbastro 1–1 Utebo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Barbastro vs Utebo?
Barbastro vs Utebo (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
