Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Reddis to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReddis to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceReddis or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.13
Reddis vs Manresa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manresa travel to face Reddis on Sunday 4 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2, with Estadi Municipal de Reus the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Reddis are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Manresa are 8th (upper half) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Reddis, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Utebo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Manresa, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to UD Logroñés II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Reddis 1.4 xG, Manresa 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Reddis 60%, draw 24%, Manresa 16%.
Lower-risk option: Reddis or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Reddis to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Reddis or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Reddis 1–0 Manresa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Reddis60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.40
Manresa16%fair 6.30 · @3.50
2.00Expected goals
1.44Reddis xG
0.56Manresa xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Reddis 1.4 – 0.6 Manresa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Reddis to win✗
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Reddis or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Draw no bet
Reddis (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Manresa +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Reddis to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Reddis / FT Reddis✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.13
–
Recent results
Reddis – last 6
WWLLLL
27 Sep
@ Utebo
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Náxara
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Ebro
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Osasuna II
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Castellón II
0–1
L
26 Aug
@ Barcelona B
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Manresa – last 6
LLWWDL
26 Sep
vs UD Logroñés II
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Tudelano
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Peña Sport
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Arnedo
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs Atlètic Lleida
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Sant Andreu
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Reddis and Manresa.
Our pick is Reddis or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Reddis vs Manresa?
On our numbers Reddis have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Manresa 16%.
How many goals will there be in Reddis vs Manresa?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Reddis vs Manresa?
Our predicted score is Reddis 1–0 Manresa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Reddis vs Manresa?
Reddis vs Manresa (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal de Reus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.