Orihuela 62%Draw 23%Castellón II 15%Expected goals 1.95 – 0.88
62%
Betarazi pick
Orihuela to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultOrihuela to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chanceOrihuela or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.67
Orihuela vs Castellón II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orihuela welcome Castellón II for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Saturday 26 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, Orihuela are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Castellón II are 3rd (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Orihuela, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportiva Minera, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Castellón II, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Valencia II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orihuela 2.0 xG, Castellón II 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orihuela 62%, draw 23%, Castellón II 15%.
Lower-risk option: Orihuela or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Orihuela to win (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orihuela 1–0 Castellón II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orihuela62%fair 1.62 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.50
Castellón II15%fair 6.53 · @4.10
2.83Expected goals
1.95Orihuela xG
0.88Castellón II xG
46%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Orihuela 2.0 – 0.9 Castellón II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orihuela to win✗
62%
1.62
1.70
Double chance
Orihuela or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Orihuela (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Orihuela -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Orihuela to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Orihuela ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
13.67
–
Recent results
Orihuela – last 6
DDWWLW
20 Sep
@ Deportiva Minera
2–2
D
16 Sep
vs Real Murcia
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Lorca Deportiva
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Real Murcia II
2–1
W
12 Aug
@ FC Cartagena
0–3
L
3 May
vs Getafe II
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Castellón II – last 6
WWLLWD
19 Sep
@ Valencia II
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Alcoyano
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Terrassa
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Reddis
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Teruel
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Castellón II.
What is the prediction for Orihuela vs Castellón II?
Our pick is Orihuela to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Orihuela vs Castellón II?
On our numbers Orihuela have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Castellón II 15%.
How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Castellón II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orihuela vs Castellón II?
Our predicted score is Orihuela 1–0 Castellón II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Orihuela vs Castellón II?
Orihuela vs Castellón II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
