Value bet: Elche II to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultValencia II to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.04
Elche II vs Valencia II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Elche II welcome Valencia II for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Saturday 10 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Elche II are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 9 matches; Valencia II are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Elche II, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Ucam Murcia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Valencia II, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Peña Deportiva, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Elche II, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Valencia II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elche II 1.1 xG, Valencia II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elche II 38%, draw 23%, Valencia II 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Elche II to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elche II 1–1 Valencia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elche II38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Valencia II39%fair 2.58 · @2.25
2.30Expected goals
1.14Elche II xG
1.16Valencia II xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Elche II 1.1 – 1.2 Valencia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valencia II to win✗
39%
2.58
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Draw no bet
Valencia II (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Elche II +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Valencia II to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valencia II / FT Valencia II✗
20%
4.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.04
–
Recent results
Elche II – last 6
LLWLDW
3 Oct
vs Ucam Murcia
1–5
L
27 Sep
@ Yeclano
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Cieza
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs FC Cartagena
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Valencia II – last 6
WLLLDL
4 Oct
vs Peña Deportiva
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Poblense
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Castellón II
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Ucam Murcia
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Mallorca II
1–1
D
3 May
@ Olot
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elche II and Valencia II.
What is the prediction for Elche II vs Valencia II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Elche II vs Valencia II?
On our numbers Elche II have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valencia II 39%.
How many goals will there be in Elche II vs Valencia II?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elche II vs Valencia II?
Our predicted score is Elche II 1–1 Valencia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Elche II vs Valencia II?
Elche II vs Valencia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
