Value bet: Puente Genil to win @ 2.40 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPuente Genil to win ✗47% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Puente Genil vs Estepona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Puente Genil v Estepona in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4. In the table, Puente Genil are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Estepona are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Puente Genil, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Recreativo Huelva, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Estepona, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Linares Deportivo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Puente Genil 1–0 Estepona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puente Genil 1.5 xG, Estepona 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puente Genil 47%, draw 24%, Estepona 29%.
Price worth noting: Puente Genil to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puente Genil 1–1 Estepona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puente Genil47%fair 2.13 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Estepona29%fair 3.49 · @2.80
2.60Expected goals
1.49Puente Genil xG
1.10Estepona xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Puente Genil 1.5 – 1.1 Estepona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Puente Genil vs Estepona?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Puente Genil vs Estepona?
On our numbers Puente Genil have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estepona 29%.
How many goals will there be in Puente Genil vs Estepona?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puente Genil vs Estepona?
Our predicted score is Puente Genil 1–1 Estepona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Puente Genil vs Estepona?
Puente Genil vs Estepona (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
