Don Benito 56%Draw 23%Sanluqueño 20%Expected goals 1.58 – 0.82
80%
Betarazi pick
Don Benito or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Don Benito to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDon Benito to win ✓56% · @1.90
Double chanceDon Benito or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.95
Don Benito vs Sanluqueño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 brings Don Benito against Sanluqueño. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Don Benito are 2nd, among the top four, on 20 points after 10 matches; Sanluqueño are 13th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Don Benito, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Xerez, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sanluqueño, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sevilla Atletico, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Don Benito, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Sanluqueño.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Don Benito 1.6 xG, Sanluqueño 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Don Benito 56%, draw 23%, Sanluqueño 20%.
Lower-risk option: Don Benito or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Price worth noting: Don Benito to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Don Benito or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Don Benito 1–0 Sanluqueño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Don Benito56%fair 1.78 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.30
Sanluqueño20%fair 4.93 · @3.75
2.39Expected goals
1.58Don Benito xG
0.82Sanluqueño xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Don Benito 1.6 – 0.8 Sanluqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Don Benito to win✓
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Don Benito or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Don Benito (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Sanluqueño +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Don Benito to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Don Benito / FT Don Benito✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
6.95
–
Recent results
Don Benito – last 6
DWWWWW
20 Sep
@ Xerez
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Las Palmas II
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
3 May
vs Diocesano
8–1
W
12 Apr
vs Santa Amalia
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Azuaga
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanluqueño – last 6
DWDWLL
20 Sep
@ Sevilla Atletico
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Tamaraceite
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Marbella
2–2
D
6 Mar
@ Real Murcia
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Sabadell
0–2
L
13 Feb
vs Atlético Madrid II
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Don Benito and Sanluqueño.
What is the prediction for Don Benito vs Sanluqueño?
Our pick is Don Benito or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Don Benito vs Sanluqueño?
On our numbers Don Benito have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sanluqueño 20%.
How many goals will there be in Don Benito vs Sanluqueño?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Don Benito vs Sanluqueño?
Our predicted score is Don Benito 1–0 Sanluqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Don Benito vs Sanluqueño?
Don Benito vs Sanluqueño (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
