Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Estepona to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEstepona to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceEstepona or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Estepona vs Don Benito: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 brings Estepona against Don Benito. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Estepona are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Don Benito are 2nd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Estepona, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tenerife II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Don Benito, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sanluqueño, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Don Benito, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Estepona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estepona 1.4 xG, Don Benito 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estepona 57%, draw 24%, Don Benito 19%.
Lower-risk option: Estepona or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Estepona to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Estepona or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estepona 1–0 Don Benito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estepona57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.20
Don Benito19%fair 5.14 · @3.60
2.13Expected goals
1.44Estepona xG
0.69Don Benito xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
0–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Estepona 1.4 – 0.7 Don Benito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estepona to win✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Estepona or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Estepona (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Don Benito +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Estepona to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estepona / FT Estepona✓
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Estepona – last 6
LWLDDW
27 Sep
@ Tenerife II
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Puente Genil
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Linares Deportivo
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Xerez
0–0
D
3 May
@ Yeclano
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Águilas
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Don Benito – last 6
WDWWWW
26 Sep
vs Sanluqueño
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Xerez
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Las Palmas II
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
3 May
vs Diocesano
8–1
W
12 Apr
vs Santa Amalia
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estepona and Don Benito.
What is the prediction for Estepona vs Don Benito?
Our pick is Estepona or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estepona vs Don Benito?
On our numbers Estepona have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Don Benito 19%.
How many goals will there be in Estepona vs Don Benito?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estepona vs Don Benito?
Our predicted score is Estepona 1–0 Don Benito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Estepona vs Don Benito?
Estepona vs Don Benito (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
