Real Betis II 58%Draw 23%Xerez 19%Expected goals 1.10 – 0.40
81%
Betarazi pick
Real Betis II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Real Betis II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Betis II to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceReal Betis II or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.08
Real Betis II vs Xerez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Betis II welcome Xerez to Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol for a Segunda División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Saturday 10 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Real Betis II are 5th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Xerez are 6th (upper half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Betis II, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Marbella, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Xerez, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tenerife II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Real Betis II, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Xerez.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Betis II 1.1 xG, Xerez 0.4 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Betis II 58%, draw 23%, Xerez 19%.
Lower-risk option: Real Betis II or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Real Betis II to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Betis II or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Betis II 1–0 Xerez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Betis II58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.00
Xerez19%fair 5.32 · @4.00
1.50Expected goals
1.10Real Betis II xG
0.40Xerez xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
0–022%
2–013%
1–110%
0–19%
2–15%
From our goals model: Real Betis II 1.1 – 0.4 Xerez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Betis II to win✗
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Real Betis II or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.75
Draw no bet
Real Betis II (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Xerez +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Real Betis II to score first✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Betis II / FT Real Betis II✗
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.08
–
Recent results
Real Betis II – last 6
WWWDWL
4 Oct
@ Marbella
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Linares Deportivo
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ Badajoz
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Antoniano
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Las Palmas II
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Atlético Madrid II
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Xerez – last 6
WLDLDD
4 Oct
vs Tenerife II
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Recreativo Huelva
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Don Benito
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Badajoz
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Estepona
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Portuense
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Betis II and Xerez.
What is the prediction for Real Betis II vs Xerez?
Our pick is Real Betis II or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Betis II vs Xerez?
On our numbers Real Betis II have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Xerez 19%.
How many goals will there be in Real Betis II vs Xerez?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Betis II vs Xerez?
Our predicted score is Real Betis II 1–0 Xerez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Real Betis II vs Xerez?
Real Betis II vs Xerez (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.