Don Benito 61%Draw 21%Puente Genil 18%Expected goals 1.63 – 0.71
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
1
Value bet: Don Benito to win @ 1.93 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDon Benito to win ✓61% · @1.93
Double chanceDon Benito or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Don Benito vs Puente Genil: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 brings Don Benito against Puente Genil. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Don Benito are 2nd, among the top four, on 20 points after 10 matches; Puente Genil are 12th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Don Benito, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tenerife II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Puente Genil, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sevilla Atletico, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Don Benito 1.6 xG, Puente Genil 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Don Benito 61%, draw 21%, Puente Genil 18%.
Lower-risk option: Don Benito or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.97.
Price worth noting: Don Benito to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Don Benito 2–0 Puente Genil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Don Benito61%fair 1.64 · @1.93
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.04
Puente Genil18%fair 5.70 · @3.68
2.33Expected goals
1.63Don Benito xG
0.71Puente Genil xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Don Benito 1.6 – 0.7 Puente Genil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Don Benito to win✓
61%
1.64
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Don Benito or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.97
Draw no bet
Don Benito (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Puente Genil +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.56
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Don Benito to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Don Benito / FT Don Benito✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Don Benito – last 6
WDDWLL
1 Nov
@ Tenerife II
1–0
W
27 Oct
vs Extremadura 1924
2–2
D
24 Oct
vs Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Atlético Central
4–2
W
11 Oct
@ Ciudad de Lucena
2–4
L
3 Oct
@ Estepona
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Puente Genil – last 6
DDWWLD
1 Nov
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Badajoz
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Las Palmas II
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Tamaraceite
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Ciudad de Lucena
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Marbella
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Don Benito and Puente Genil.
What is the prediction for Don Benito vs Puente Genil?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Don Benito vs Puente Genil?
On our numbers Don Benito have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Puente Genil 18%.
How many goals will there be in Don Benito vs Puente Genil?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Don Benito vs Puente Genil?
Our predicted score is Don Benito 2–0 Puente Genil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Don Benito vs Puente Genil?
Don Benito vs Puente Genil (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
