Atlético Paso 33%Draw 23%Real Madrid III 44%Expected goals 0.80 – 0.99
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid III to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.02
Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Atlético Paso against Real Madrid III. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Atlético Paso are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Real Madrid III are 11th (lower half) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atlético Paso, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Albacete II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Real Madrid III, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to A Madrid III, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Paso 0.8 xG, Real Madrid III 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Paso 33%, draw 23%, Real Madrid III 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Paso 0–0 Real Madrid III. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Paso33%fair 3.04 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Real Madrid III44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
1.79Expected goals
0.80Atlético Paso xG
0.99Real Madrid III xG
40%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–117%
1–013%
1–113%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atlético Paso 0.8 – 1.0 Real Madrid III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid III to win✗
44%
2.29
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Draw no bet
Real Madrid III (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Paso +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Real Madrid III to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.02
–
Recent results
Atlético Paso – last 6
DLDLDW
27 Sep
@ Albacete II
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs A Madrid III
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Calvo Sotelo
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Numancia
0–2
L
10 May
@ Herbania
1–1
D
3 May
vs Las Palmas III
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Madrid III – last 6
LDDWLW
27 Sep
@ A Madrid III
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ CF Talavera
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Albacete II
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
3 May
vs Conquense
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ SS Reyes
3–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Paso and Real Madrid III.
What is the prediction for Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III?
On our numbers Atlético Paso have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Madrid III 44%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III?
Our predicted score is Atlético Paso 0–0 Real Madrid III, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III?
Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
