Guadalajara v Gimnástica Segoviana Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGuadalajara to win ✗62% · @1.85

Double chanceGuadalajara or draw ✓83% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gimnástica Segoviana travel to face Guadalajara on Saturday 3 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Guadalajara are 9th, upper half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Gimnástica Segoviana are 14th (lower half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Guadalajara, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Numancia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Gimnástica Segoviana, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over SS Reyes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara 2.3 xG, Gimnástica Segoviana 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara 62%, draw 21%, Gimnástica Segoviana 17%.
Lower-risk option: Guadalajara or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Guadalajara to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Guadalajara or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara 2–1 Gimnástica Segoviana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guadalajara62%fair 1.62 · @1.85

Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30

Gimnástica Segoviana17%fair 5.81 · @3.60

3.43Expected goals

2.28Guadalajara xG

1.15Gimnástica Segoviana xG

56%Both score

67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

1–18%

2–08%

1–07%

3–17%

3–06%

From our goals model: Guadalajara 2.3 – 1.2 Gimnástica Segoviana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Guadalajara to win ✗	62%	1.62	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Guadalajara or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.78	1.83
Draw no bet	Guadalajara (draw no bet)	78%	1.28	–
Asian handicap	Guadalajara -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	74%	1.35	–
First team to score	Guadalajara to score first ✗	64%	1.56	–
Half-time result	Guadalajara ahead at half-time ✗	47%	2.13	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Guadalajara / FT Guadalajara ✗	41%	2.45	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.33	–

Guadalajara – last 6

LWLLWL

27 Sep	@ Numancia	0–1	L
13 Sep	vs RSD Alcalá	2–1	W
6 Sep	vs Salamanca UDS	2–3	L
18 Aug	@ Marchamalo	0–1	L
3 Apr	vs Racing Ferrol	1–0	W
29 Mar	@ Osasuna II	3–4	L

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Gimnástica Segoviana – last 6

WLLWLL

26 Sep	vs SS Reyes	2–0	W
20 Sep	@ RSD Alcalá	2–5	L
13 Sep	vs Conquense	1–2	L
6 Sep	@ Calvo Sotelo	3–0	W
29 Aug	vs Real Madrid III	0–1	L
26 Aug	@ Leganés II	1–2	L

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Salamanca UDS	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	SS Reyes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	A Madrid III	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Real Valladolid II	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Albacete II	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Real Madrid III	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Atlético Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	0	10
13	RSD Alcalá	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Gimnástica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Atlético Paso	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Getafe II	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Real Ávila	10	2	1	7	-10	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Team

Pts

+11

-11

-1

-1

-1

-2

-4

-10

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana?

Our pick is Guadalajara or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana?

On our numbers Guadalajara have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gimnástica Segoviana 17%.

How many goals will there be in Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana?

Our predicted score is Guadalajara 2–1 Gimnástica Segoviana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana?

Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Guadalajara v Gimnástica Segoviana: numbers & prediction