Value bet: Conquense to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultConquense to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Real Madrid III vs Conquense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Madrid III welcome Conquense for a Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 25 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Real Madrid III are 11th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Conquense are 4th (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Real Madrid III, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with RSD Alcalá, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Conquense, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atlético Paso, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Conquense, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Real Madrid III.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Real Madrid III 0–1 Conquense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid III 0.9 xG, Conquense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid III 27%, draw 24%, Conquense 48%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Conquense to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid III 1–1 Conquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Madrid III27%fair 3.68 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Conquense48%fair 2.07 · @2.30
2.14Expected goals
0.86Real Madrid III xG
1.28Conquense xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Real Madrid III 0.9 – 1.3 Conquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
On our numbers Real Madrid III have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Conquense 48%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid III 1–1 Conquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
Real Madrid III vs Conquense (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
