Guadalajara v Real Valladolid II Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGuadalajara to win ✗64% · @1.80

Double chanceGuadalajara or draw ✓86% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Guadalajara against Real Valladolid II. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Guadalajara are 9th, upper half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Real Valladolid II are 6th (upper half) with 17.

Current form

Guadalajara, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Atlético Tordesillas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Real Valladolid II, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Ávila, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara 2.2 xG, Real Valladolid II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara 64%, draw 22%, Real Valladolid II 14%.
Lower-risk option: Guadalajara or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Guadalajara to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Guadalajara or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara 2–0 Real Valladolid II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guadalajara64%fair 1.57 · @1.80

Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.40

Real Valladolid II14%fair 7.17 · @3.80

3.21Expected goals

2.22Guadalajara xG

0.99Real Valladolid II xG

61%Both score

62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

2–110%

1–09%

1–19%

3–07%

3–17%

From our goals model: Guadalajara 2.2 – 1.0 Real Valladolid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Guadalajara to win ✗	64%	1.57	1.80 ▲
Double chance	Guadalajara or draw ✓	86%	1.16	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.63	1.60
Draw no bet	Guadalajara (draw no bet)	82%	1.22	–
Asian handicap	Guadalajara -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	–
First team to score	Guadalajara to score first	66%	1.51	–
Half-time result	Guadalajara ahead at half-time ✗	48%	2.08	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Guadalajara / FT Guadalajara ✗	43%	2.34	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.16	–

Guadalajara – last 6

LWDDLW

18 Oct	@ Atlético Tordesillas	0–3	L
11 Oct	vs Getafe II	4–1	W
7 Oct	@ Real Madrid III	1–1	D
3 Oct	vs Gimnástica Segoviana	3–3	D
27 Sep	@ Numancia	0–1	L
13 Sep	vs RSD Alcalá	2–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Real Valladolid II – last 6

WDWLWL

18 Oct	vs Real Ávila	2–1	W
11 Oct	@ Gimnástica Segoviana	1–1	D
4 Oct	vs Calvo Sotelo	3–0	W
27 Sep	@ CF Talavera	1–2	L
20 Sep	vs Albacete II	6–1	W
12 Sep	@ SS Reyes	0–1	L

2.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Salamanca UDS	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	SS Reyes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	A Madrid III	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Real Valladolid II	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Albacete II	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Real Madrid III	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Atlético Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	0	10
13	RSD Alcalá	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Gimnástica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Atlético Paso	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Getafe II	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Real Ávila	10	2	1	7	-10	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Team

Pts

+11

-11

-1

-1

-1

-2

-4

-10

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II?

Our pick is Guadalajara or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II?

On our numbers Guadalajara have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Valladolid II 14%.

How many goals will there be in Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II?

Our predicted score is Guadalajara 2–0 Real Valladolid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II?

Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Guadalajara v Real Valladolid II: numbers & prediction