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Barcelona W v Real Madrid W: numbers & prediction

Primera División Femenina · Spain · Estadi Johan Cruyff
7–0
FT
Barcelona W 71%Draw 18%Real Madrid W 11% Expected goals 2.98 – 1.22
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarcelona W to win ✓71% · @1.11
Double chanceBarcelona W or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @2.05
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.31

Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barcelona W welcome Real Madrid W to Estadi Johan Cruyff for a Primera División Femenina fixture on Sunday 4 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Barcelona W are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 10 matches; Real Madrid W are 2nd (among the top four) with 23.

Current form

Barcelona W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Roma W, away. The attack is flying at 4.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Real Madrid W, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Manchester City W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Barcelona W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Real Madrid W.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Barcelona W 6–0 Real Madrid W. The last 3 head-to-heads: Barcelona W 3 wins, Real Madrid W 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barcelona W 3.0 xG, Real Madrid W 1.2 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barcelona W 71%, draw 18%, Real Madrid W 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barcelona W 2–1 Real Madrid W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barcelona W71%fair 1.40 · @1.11
Draw18%fair 5.70 · @7.50
Real Madrid W11%fair 9.11 · @15.00
4.20Expected goals
2.98Barcelona W xG
1.22Real Madrid W xG
62%Both score
79%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
4–16%
1–15%

From our goals model: Barcelona W 3.0 – 1.2 Real Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarcelona W to win ✓71%1.401.11
Double chanceBarcelona W or draw ✓89%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.612.05 ▲
Draw no betBarcelona W (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapBarcelona W -1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
First team to scoreBarcelona W to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultBarcelona W ahead at half-time ✓56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barcelona W / FT Barcelona W ✓51%1.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.31–

Recent results

Barcelona W – last 6

WWWWWW
30 Sep@ Roma W6–0W
26 Sep@ Edf Logrono W2–0W
23 Sepvs Paris FC W5–2W
18 Sep@ Deportivo Alavés W6–0W
12 Sepvs Atletico Madrid W4–2W
5 Sep@ Sevilla W4–0W
4.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Real Madrid W – last 6

DWDWWD
1 Oct@ Manchester City W1–1D
26 Sep@ Real Sociedad W5–3W
22 Sepvs Paris Saint Germain W1–1D
19 Sepvs Valencia W3–1W
11 Sep@ Deportivo de La Coruña W2–0W
6 Sepvs Eibar W0–0D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026Barcelona W v Real Madrid W6–0
29 Mar 2026Real Madrid W v Barcelona W0–3
25 Mar 2026Real Madrid W v Barcelona W2–6
Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W head-to-head page →

Primera División Femenina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W10901+3627
2Real Madrid W10721+523
3Atletico Madrid W10613+1019
4Madrid CFF W10523-517
5Athletic Club W10442+216
6Espanyol W10433+315
7Granad. Tenerife W9423014
8Real Sociedad W10343-213
9Eibar W10334-312
10Deportivo de La Coruña W10325-211
11Granada10325-711
12Edf Logrono W10316-310
13Sevilla W10244-510
14Deportivo Alavés W9225-78
15FC Levante Badalona W10226-118
16Valencia W10208-116

More Primera División Femenina predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?

On our numbers Barcelona W have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Madrid W 11%.

How many goals will there be in Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?

Our predicted score is Barcelona W 2–1 Real Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?

Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Johan Cruyff.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.