Valencia W 15%Draw 23%Real Sociedad W 62%Expected goals 1.07 – 2.23
85%
Betarazi pick
Real Sociedad W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Real Sociedad W to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Sociedad W to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceReal Sociedad W or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Valencia W vs Real Sociedad W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Primera División Femenina brings Valencia W against Real Sociedad W at Estadio Antonio Puchades. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Valencia W are 16th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Real Sociedad W are 8th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Valencia W, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Granad. Tenerife W, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Real Sociedad W, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Hearts W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Real Sociedad W, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Valencia W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valencia W 1.1 xG, Real Sociedad W 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valencia W 15%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad W 62%.
Lower-risk option: Real Sociedad W or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Real Sociedad W to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Sociedad W or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valencia W 1–2 Real Sociedad W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valencia W15%fair 6.73 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.50
Real Sociedad W62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
3.30Expected goals
1.07Valencia W xG
2.23Real Sociedad W xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Valencia W 1.1 – 2.2 Real Sociedad W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Sociedad W to win✓
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Real Sociedad W or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Sociedad W (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Real Sociedad W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Real Sociedad W to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Real Sociedad W ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Sociedad W / FT Real Sociedad W✓
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Valencia W – last 5
LLLLL
27 Sep
vs Granad. Tenerife W
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Real Madrid W
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Edf Logrono W
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Madrid CFF W
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ Deportivo Alavés W
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad W – last 6
WLDDDL
30 Sep
vs Hearts W
4–0
W
26 Sep
vs Real Madrid W
3–5
L
23 Sep
@ Hearts W
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ FC Levante Badalona W
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Granad. Tenerife W
1–1
D
7 Sep
@ Granada
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valencia W and Real Sociedad W.
What is the prediction for Valencia W vs Real Sociedad W?
Our pick is Real Sociedad W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Valencia W vs Real Sociedad W?
On our numbers Valencia W have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Sociedad W 62%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia W vs Real Sociedad W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia W vs Real Sociedad W?
Our predicted score is Valencia W 1–2 Real Sociedad W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Valencia W vs Real Sociedad W?
Valencia W vs Real Sociedad W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Puchades.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
