Union Berlin v SV Elversberg Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSV Elversberg to win ✗45% · @2.70

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.44

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.90

Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Union Berlin v SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga, played at An der Alten Försterei. In the table, Union Berlin are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 9 matches; SV Elversberg are 7th (upper half) with 13.

Current form

Union Berlin, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Bayern München, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.8 conceded per game.

SV Elversberg, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Schalke 04, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours SV Elversberg, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Union Berlin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union Berlin 2.1 xG, SV Elversberg 2.4 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Union Berlin 34%, draw 21%, SV Elversberg 45%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: SV Elversberg to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Berlin 2–2 SV Elversberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union Berlin34%fair 2.92 · @2.25

Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.60

SV Elversberg45%fair 2.22 · @2.70

4.50Expected goals

2.10Union Berlin xG

2.40SV Elversberg xG

71%Both score

83%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%

1–27%

2–16%

2–36%

1–16%

1–35%

From our goals model: Union Berlin 2.1 – 2.4 SV Elversberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	SV Elversberg to win ✗	45%	2.22	2.70 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.26	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	71%	1.41	1.44
Draw no bet	SV Elversberg (draw no bet) ✗	57%	1.76	–
Asian handicap	Union Berlin +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	94%	1.07	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	83%	1.21	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	53%	1.88	–
First team to score	SV Elversberg to score first ✗	53%	1.90	–
Half-time result	SV Elversberg ahead at half-time ✗	38%	2.64	–
Half-time / full-time	HT SV Elversberg / FT SV Elversberg ✗	29%	3.47	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	14.90	–

Union Berlin – last 6

LLLDWL

18 Sep	@ Bayern München	0–7	L
11 Sep	vs FC Schalke 04	1–3	L
5 Sep	@ Bayer Leverkusen	0–4	L
29 Aug	vs Eintracht Frankfurt	3–3	D
23 Aug	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	4–2	W
15 Aug	vs Ipswich	2–4	L

1.7Scored / game

3.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

SV Elversberg – last 6

DLWWWW

20 Sep	@ FC Schalke 04	0–0	D
13 Sep	vs Bayern München	1–2	L
5 Sep	@ Borussia Mönchengladbach	4–3	W
29 Aug	vs Bayer Leverkusen	3–2	W
22 Aug	@ MSV Duisburg	3–1	W
15 Aug	vs Lorient	4–1	W

2.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	9	6	3	0	+20	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	6	3	0	+9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	6	1	2	+10	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	6	0	3	+14	18
5	Bayer Leverkusen	9	5	1	3	+3	16
6	Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	SV Elversberg	9	4	1	4	-1	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	4	0	5	0	12
9	1899 Hoffenheim	9	4	0	5	-1	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	3	3	3	-5	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	4	0	5	-10	12
12	FSV Mainz 05	9	3	1	5	-1	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	2	4	3	-3	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	2	3	4	0	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Union Berlin	9	1	4	4	-14	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	1	3	5	-6	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	1	1	7	-13	4

Team

Pts

+20

+10

+14

-1

-1

-5

-10

-1

-3

-4

-14

-6

Borussia Mönchengladbach

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?

On our numbers Union Berlin have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SV Elversberg 45%.

How many goals will there be in Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?

Our predicted score is Union Berlin 2–2 SV Elversberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?

Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at An der Alten Försterei.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Union Berlin v SV Elversberg: numbers & prediction