Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Expected Goals (31 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBayern München to win ✗69% · @1.33

Double chanceBayern München or draw ✓89% · @1.10

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Borussia Dortmund travel to face Bayern München on Saturday 31 October in the Bundesliga, with Allianz Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Bayern München are 1st, leading the league, on 21 points after 9 matches; Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (among the top four) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bayern München, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 6–1 win over 1. FC Magdeburg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game.

Borussia Dortmund, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Werder Bremen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Borussia Dortmund 1–2 Bayern München.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bayern München 2.4 xG, Borussia Dortmund 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bayern München 69%, draw 20%, Borussia Dortmund 11%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bayern München to win (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayern München 2–0 Borussia Dortmund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bayern München69%fair 1.45 · @1.33

Draw20%fair 4.92 · @5.00

Borussia Dortmund11%fair 9.24 · @7.00

3.36Expected goals

2.43Bayern München xG

0.93Borussia Dortmund xG

64%Both score

65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

2–110%

1–08%

3–08%

1–18%

3–18%

From our goals model: Bayern München 2.4 – 0.9 Borussia Dortmund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bayern München to win ✗	69%	1.45	1.33
Double chance	Bayern München or draw ✓	89%	1.12	1.10
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.56	1.44
Draw no bet	Bayern München (draw no bet)	86%	1.16	–
Asian handicap	Bayern München -1 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	57%	1.76	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	–
First team to score	Bayern München to score first ✓	70%	1.43	–
Half-time result	Bayern München ahead at half-time ✓	52%	1.92	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bayern München / FT Bayern München ✗	47%	2.11	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.49	–

Bayern München – last 6

WWDWDD

28 Oct	vs 1. FC Magdeburg	6–1	W
25 Oct	@ SC Freiburg	3–1	W
21 Oct	vs Arsenal	2–2	D
17 Oct	vs RB Leipzig	6–1	W
13 Oct	@ Viking	3–3	D
10 Oct	@ FC Augsburg	2–2	D

3.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Borussia Dortmund – last 6

WWWDLD

27 Oct	vs Werder Bremen	3–2	W
24 Oct	vs Eintracht Frankfurt	1–0	W
20 Oct	@ Sabah FA	2–1	W
17 Oct	@ Union Berlin	0–0	D
14 Oct	@ BodoGlimt	0–1	L
9 Oct	vs Werder Bremen	2–2	D

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	9	6	3	0	+20	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	6	3	0	+9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	6	1	2	+10	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	6	0	3	+14	18
5	Bayer Leverkusen	9	5	1	3	+3	16
6	Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	SV Elversberg	9	4	1	4	-1	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	4	0	5	0	12
9	1899 Hoffenheim	9	4	0	5	-1	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	3	3	3	-5	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	4	0	5	-10	12
12	FSV Mainz 05	9	3	1	5	-1	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	2	4	3	-3	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	2	3	4	0	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Union Berlin	9	1	4	4	-14	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	1	3	5	-6	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	1	1	7	-13	4

Team

Pts

+20

+10

+14

-1

-1

-5

-10

-1

-3

-4

-14

-6

Borussia Mönchengladbach

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our pick is Bayern München to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?

On our numbers Bayern München have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Borussia Dortmund 11%.

How many goals will there be in Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our predicted score is Bayern München 2–0 Borussia Dortmund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund: numbers & prediction

Bayern München

Borussia Dortmund

Bayern München to win

Picks by market

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Bayern München – last 6

Borussia Dortmund – last 6

Head to head

Bundesliga table

More Bundesliga predictions

Frequently asked questions