Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
Picks by market
ResultBayer Leverkusen to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga, played at BayArena. In the table, Bayer Leverkusen are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 9 matches; VfB Stuttgart are 8th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Bayer Leverkusen, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over 1. FC Nürnberg, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
VfB Stuttgart, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SC Paderborn 07, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bayer Leverkusen, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for VfB Stuttgart.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bayer Leverkusen 2.3 xG, VfB Stuttgart 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bayer Leverkusen 57%, draw 22%, VfB Stuttgart 21%.
Lower-risk option: Bayer Leverkusen or draw (79%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bayer Leverkusen or draw (79%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bayer Leverkusen57%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.00
VfB Stuttgart21%fair 4.83 · @3.60
3.64Expected goals
2.29Bayer Leverkusen xG
1.35VfB Stuttgart xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Bayer Leverkusen 2.3 – 1.3 VfB Stuttgart expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayer Leverkusen to win✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Double chance
Bayer Leverkusen or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Draw no bet
Bayer Leverkusen (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
VfB Stuttgart +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
Bayer Leverkusen to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Bayer Leverkusen ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Bayer Leverkusen – last 6
WLWWWW
28 Oct
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
5–2
W
25 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
0–3
L
22 Oct
@ OFI
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs SC Freiburg
2–1
W
15 Oct
@ Lech Poznan
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ FSV Mainz 05
4–3
W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
VfB Stuttgart – last 6
WLDLWW
28 Oct
@ SC Paderborn 07
1–0
W
23 Oct
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
2–3
L
20 Oct
vs Atletico Madrid
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Hamburger SV
0–1
L
14 Oct
@ Slovan Bratislava
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ SC Paderborn 07
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayer Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart.
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our pick is Bayer Leverkusen or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
On our numbers Bayer Leverkusen have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and VfB Stuttgart 21%.
How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our predicted score is Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at BayArena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
