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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Moreirense v SC Braga: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal · Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
2–2
FT
Moreirense 21%Draw 26%SC Braga 53% Expected goals 0.94 – 1.49
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultSC Braga to win ✗53% · @1.69
Double chanceSC Braga or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.64

Moreirense vs SC Braga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 9 August the Primeira Liga brings Moreirense against SC Braga at Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Moreirense are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 11 matches; SC Braga are 8th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Moreirense, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Felgueiras 1932, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

SC Braga, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dinamo Minsk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours SC Braga, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Moreirense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Moreirense 0.9 xG, SC Braga 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Moreirense 21%, draw 26%, SC Braga 53%.
  • Lower-risk option: SC Braga or draw (79%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreirense 0–1 SC Braga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Moreirense21%fair 4.78 · @4.75
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.70
SC Braga53%fair 1.89 · @1.69
2.43Expected goals
0.94Moreirense xG
1.49SC Braga xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%

From our goals model: Moreirense 0.9 – 1.5 SC Braga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSC Braga to win ✗53%1.891.69
Double chanceSC Braga or draw ✓79%1.261.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.911.85
Draw no betSC Braga (draw no bet)72%1.40–
Asian handicapMoreirense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.341.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.10
First team to scoreSC Braga to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT SC Braga / FT SC Braga ✗30%3.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.64–

Recent results

Moreirense – last 6

LWDLDL
1 Aug@ Felgueiras 19321–2L
1 Augvs Amarante2–0W
25 Jul@ GIL Vicente2–2D
22 Jul@ Santa Clara1–2L
18 Julvs AVS2–2D
11 May@ Tondela0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

SC Braga – last 6

WWWDLW
6 Augvs Dinamo Minsk1–0W
30 Julvs Železničar Pančevo4–0W
22 Jul@ Železničar Pančevo1–0W
18 Julvs Celta Vigo2–2D
14 Julvs Vizela0–5L
10 Jul@ Stoke City1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Moreirense and SC Braga.

Moreirense vs SC Braga head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

More Primeira Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Moreirense vs SC Braga?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Moreirense vs SC Braga?

On our numbers Moreirense have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 26% and SC Braga 53%.

How many goals will there be in Moreirense vs SC Braga?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs SC Braga?

Our predicted score is Moreirense 0–1 SC Braga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Moreirense vs SC Braga?

Moreirense vs SC Braga (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.