Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Estoril to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstoril to win ✗59% · @1.90
Double chanceEstoril or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Estoril vs Rio Ave: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Estoril v Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga, played at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. In the table, Estoril are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 10 matches; Rio Ave are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Estoril, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nacional, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Rio Ave, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Porto, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rio Ave, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Estoril.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Estoril 1–2 Rio Ave.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estoril 1.6 xG, Rio Ave 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estoril 59%, draw 23%, Rio Ave 18%.
Lower-risk option: Estoril or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Estoril to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Estoril or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estoril 1–0 Rio Ave. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estoril59%fair 1.70 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.55
Rio Ave18%fair 5.66 · @3.80
2.27Expected goals
1.56Estoril xG
0.70Rio Ave xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Estoril 1.6 – 0.7 Rio Ave expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Estoril or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estoril vs Rio Ave?
On our numbers Estoril have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rio Ave 18%.
How many goals will there be in Estoril vs Rio Ave?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Our predicted score is Estoril 1–0 Rio Ave, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Estoril vs Rio Ave (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
