Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP to win ✓75% · @1.21
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓94% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Sporting CP vs Alverca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Primeira Liga brings Sporting CP against Alverca. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Sporting CP are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; Alverca are 11th (lower half) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting CP, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Vitória SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 5 won, 0 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game.
Alverca, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Estrela, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sporting CP, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Alverca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP 2.7 xG, Alverca 0.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP 75%, draw 19%, Alverca 6%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting CP to win (75%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP 2–0 Alverca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting CP75%fair 1.33 · @1.21
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @5.90
Alverca6%fair 15.59 · @13.50
3.53Expected goals
2.71Sporting CP xG
0.82Alverca xG
58%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–08%
4–07%
From our goals model: Sporting CP 2.7 – 0.8 Alverca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✓
75%
1.33
1.21
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting CP (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Sporting CP -1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
First team to score
Sporting CP to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✓
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Sporting CP – last 6
WDWWWW
14 Aug
vs Vitória SC
3–2
W
8 Aug
@ Estrela
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Nottingham Forest
4–1
W
25 Jul
vs Monaco
2–0
W
20 Jul
vs Strasbourg
7–0
W
14 Jul
vs Celtic
4–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Alverca – last 6
DLWLWW
15 Aug
vs Estrela
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ FC Porto
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Mafra
0–1
L
22 Jul
vs Estoril
2–0
W
17 Jul
vs CF Os Belenenses
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP and Alverca.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP vs Alverca?
Our pick is Sporting CP to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Alverca?
On our numbers Sporting CP have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alverca 6%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Alverca?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Alverca?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP 2–0 Alverca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP vs Alverca?
Sporting CP vs Alverca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
