Value bet: Santa Clara to win @ 2.66 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanta Clara to win ✗45% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Alverca vs Santa Clara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alverca welcome Santa Clara to FC Alverca Sports Complex for a Primeira Liga fixture on Saturday 29 August (15:30 WAT). In the table, Alverca are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Santa Clara are 4th (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Alverca, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sporting CP, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Santa Clara, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Famalicao, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Santa Clara, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Alverca.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alverca 1.1 xG, Santa Clara 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alverca 32%, draw 23%, Santa Clara 45%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Santa Clara to win @2.66 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alverca32%fair 3.15 · @2.66
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.15
Santa Clara45%fair 2.22 · @2.66
2.51Expected goals
1.12Alverca xG
1.40Santa Clara xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Alverca 1.1 – 1.4 Santa Clara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alverca vs Santa Clara?
On our numbers Alverca have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santa Clara 45%.
How many goals will there be in Alverca vs Santa Clara?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Our predicted score is Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Alverca vs Santa Clara (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at FC Alverca Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
