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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Famalicao v GIL Vicente: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal · Estádio Municipal de Famalicão

Famalicao

LLDLW
0–0
FT

GIL Vicente

WWDDL
Famalicao 39%Draw 23%GIL Vicente 37% Expected goals 1.07 – 1.03
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: GIL Vicente to win @ 3.50 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFamalicao to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.87

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:30 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Famalicao v GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga, played at Estádio Municipal de Famalicão. In the table, Famalicao are 10th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; GIL Vicente are 7th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Famalicao, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Santa Clara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

GIL Vicente, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Casa Pia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours GIL Vicente, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Famalicao.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Famalicao 1.1 xG, GIL Vicente 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Famalicao 39%, draw 23%, GIL Vicente 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: GIL Vicente to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Famalicao 1–1 GIL Vicente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Famalicao39%fair 2.54 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.15
GIL Vicente37%fair 2.68 · @3.50
2.10Expected goals
1.07Famalicao xG
1.03GIL Vicente xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Famalicao 1.1 – 1.0 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFamalicao to win ✗39%2.542.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.90
Draw no betFamalicao (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapGIL Vicente +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.551.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.091.06
First team to scoreFamalicao to score first ✗45%2.24–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓21%4.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.87–

Recent results

Famalicao – last 6

LLDLWD
23 Aug@ Santa Clara0–1L
16 Augvs Maritimo1–2L
7 Aug@ Estoril1–1D
31 Julvs Como2–3L
25 Julvs Tondela1–0W
22 Julvs Arouca0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

GIL Vicente – last 6

WWDDLW
24 Augvs Casa Pia2–0W
9 Augvs Rio Ave1–0W
25 Julvs Moreirense2–2D
18 Julvs Felgueiras 19321–1D
11 Mayvs Arouca1–3L
27 Aprvs Casa Pia2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Famalicao and GIL Vicente.

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

More Primeira Liga predictions

League hub
FT Nacional2 Estrela3 141%2.30X23%3.25236%3.05 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓
FT Casa Pia0 Moreirense1 139%2.30X24%3.05237%3.25 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.48 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?

On our numbers Famalicao have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and GIL Vicente 37%.

How many goals will there be in Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?

Our predicted score is Famalicao 1–1 GIL Vicente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Famalicão.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.