Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.64
Casa Pia vs FC Porto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Casa Pia welcome FC Porto for a Primeira Liga fixture on Saturday 12 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Casa Pia are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; FC Porto are 1st (leading the league) with 33. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Casa Pia, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vitória SC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
FC Porto, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Manchester City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Porto, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for Casa Pia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Casa Pia 0.5 xG, FC Porto 1.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Casa Pia 12%, draw 19%, FC Porto 69%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Porto to win (69%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Casa Pia 0–1 FC Porto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Casa Pia12%fair 8.16 · @12.00
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @5.50
FC Porto69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
2.30Expected goals
0.53Casa Pia xG
1.77FC Porto xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–216%
0–010%
1–19%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Casa Pia 0.5 – 1.8 FC Porto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Porto to win✓
69%
1.45
1.22
Double chance
FC Porto or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.57
Draw no bet
FC Porto (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
FC Porto -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
FC Porto to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
FC Porto ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Porto / FT FC Porto✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.64
–
Recent results
Casa Pia – last 6
DLLLLL
6 Sep
@ Vitória SC
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Moreirense
0–1
L
24 Aug
@ GIL Vicente
0–2
L
17 Aug
vs Benfica
0–7
L
8 Aug
@ Maritimo
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Leixoes
2–6
L
0.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Porto – last 6
LWWWWW
8 Sep
vs Manchester City
0–2
L
4 Sep
vs Moreirense
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Academico Viseu
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Arouca
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Rio Ave
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Alverca
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Casa Pia and FC Porto.
Our pick is FC Porto to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
On our numbers Casa Pia have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Porto 69%.
How many goals will there be in Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
Our predicted score is Casa Pia 0–1 FC Porto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
Casa Pia vs FC Porto (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
