Moreirense vs Maritimo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Moreirense welcome Maritimo to Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas for a Primeira Liga fixture on Monday 14 September (20:15 WAT). In the table, Moreirense are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Maritimo are 15th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Moreirense, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Benfica, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Maritimo, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Benfica, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Maritimo, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Moreirense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moreirense 1.5 xG, Maritimo 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moreirense 39%, draw 24%, Maritimo 36%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.82, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreirense 1–1 Maritimo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moreirense39%fair 2.53 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.00
Maritimo36%fair 2.76 · @2.90
3.00Expected goals
1.54Moreirense xG
1.46Maritimo xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Moreirense 1.5 – 1.5 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreirense to win✓
39%
2.53
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Moreirense (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Maritimo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Moreirense to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreirense / FT Moreirense✓
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Moreirense – last 6
LLWLDL
9 Sep
vs Benfica
0–4
L
4 Sep
@ FC Porto
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Casa Pia
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Arouca
0–4
L
9 Aug
vs SC Braga
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Felgueiras 1932
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 6
LLDWWD
5 Sep
vs Benfica
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Arouca
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Academico Viseu
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Famalicao
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Casa Pia
1–0
W
29 Jul
vs Estrela
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreirense and Maritimo.
What is the prediction for Moreirense vs Maritimo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Moreirense vs Maritimo?
On our numbers Moreirense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maritimo 36%.
How many goals will there be in Moreirense vs Maritimo?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is Moreirense 1–1 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Moreirense vs Maritimo?
Moreirense vs Maritimo (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
