Rio Ave 36%Draw 23%Estrela 41%Expected goals 1.60 – 1.70
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultEstrela to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Rio Ave vs Estrela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 14 September the Primeira Liga brings Rio Ave against Estrela. Kick-off: 18:45 WAT. In the table, Rio Ave are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Estrela are 12th (lower half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rio Ave, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Santa Clara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Estrela, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SC Braga, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Estrela, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Rio Ave.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Rio Ave 2–1 Estrela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rio Ave 1.6 xG, Estrela 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rio Ave 36%, draw 23%, Estrela 41%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rio Ave 1–1 Estrela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rio Ave36%fair 2.77 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Estrela41%fair 2.46 · @2.60
3.30Expected goals
1.60Rio Ave xG
1.70Estrela xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Rio Ave 1.6 – 1.7 Estrela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Rio Ave vs Estrela?
On our numbers Rio Ave have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estrela 41%.
How many goals will there be in Rio Ave vs Estrela?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rio Ave vs Estrela?
Our predicted score is Rio Ave 1–1 Estrela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Rio Ave vs Estrela?
Rio Ave vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
