Maritimo 17%Draw 18%FC Porto 66%Expected goals 0.89 – 2.04
66%
Betarazi pick
FC Porto to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Porto to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceFC Porto or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.12
Maritimo vs FC Porto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Primeira Liga brings Maritimo against FC Porto at Estádio do Marítimo. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Maritimo are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; FC Porto are 1st (leading the league) with 33. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Maritimo, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with GIL Vicente, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
FC Porto, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Deportivo La Coruna, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours FC Porto, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Maritimo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maritimo 0.9 xG, FC Porto 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maritimo 17%, draw 18%, FC Porto 66%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Porto to win (66%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maritimo 0–2 FC Porto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maritimo17%fair 5.98 · @9.00
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @5.00
FC Porto66%fair 1.52 · @1.30
2.93Expected goals
0.89Maritimo xG
2.04FC Porto xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Maritimo 0.9 – 2.0 FC Porto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Porto to win✓
66%
1.52
1.30
Double chance
FC Porto or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Porto (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
FC Porto -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
FC Porto to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
FC Porto ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Porto / FT FC Porto✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Maritimo – last 6
DLLLDW
19 Sep
@ GIL Vicente
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Moreirense
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Benfica
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Arouca
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Academico Viseu
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Famalicao
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Porto – last 6
WWWLWW
2 Oct
@ Deportivo La Coruna
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Benfica
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Casa Pia
4–1
W
8 Sep
vs Manchester City
0–2
L
4 Sep
vs Moreirense
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Academico Viseu
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maritimo and FC Porto.
Our pick is FC Porto to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Maritimo vs FC Porto?
On our numbers Maritimo have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FC Porto 66%.
How many goals will there be in Maritimo vs FC Porto?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maritimo vs FC Porto?
Our predicted score is Maritimo 0–2 FC Porto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Maritimo vs FC Porto?
Maritimo vs FC Porto (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Marítimo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
