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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Porto v Estoril: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal
4–0
FT

Estoril

LDLLL
FC Porto 69%Draw 18%Estoril 13% Expected goals 1.89 – 0.61
69%
Betarazi pick

FC Porto to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Porto to win ✓69% · @1.20
Double chanceFC Porto or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46

FC Porto vs Estoril: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Estoril travel to face FC Porto on Saturday 31 October in the Primeira Liga – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, FC Porto are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 11 matches; Estoril are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Porto, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Academico Viseu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Estoril, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Moreirense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours FC Porto, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Estoril.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Porto 1.9 xG, Estoril 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Porto 69%, draw 18%, Estoril 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Porto to win (69%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Porto 1–0 Estoril. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Porto69%fair 1.44 · @1.20
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @6.00
Estoril13%fair 7.87 · @15.00
2.50Expected goals
1.89FC Porto xG
0.61Estoril xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: FC Porto 1.9 – 0.6 Estoril expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Porto to win ✓69%1.441.20
Double chanceFC Porto or draw ✓87%1.151.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.50
Draw no betFC Porto (draw no bet) ✓84%1.18–
Asian handicapFC Porto -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreFC Porto to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultFC Porto ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Porto / FT FC Porto ✓43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.46–

Recent results

FC Porto – last 6

WWLLWW
28 Octvs Academico Viseu1–0W
24 Oct@ GIL Vicente1–0W
20 Octvs PSV Eindhoven0–1L
14 Oct@ Real Betis2–3L
10 Oct@ Maritimo2–1W
2 Oct@ Deportivo La Coruna3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Estoril – last 6

LDLLLD
25 Octvs Moreirense1–3L
18 Oct@ Salgueiros1–1D
10 Oct@ Academico Viseu1–2L
20 Sepvs Casa Pia1–2L
14 Sep@ SC Braga0–1L
7 Sepvs Arouca0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Porto and Estoril.

FC Porto vs Estoril head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

More Primeira Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Porto vs Estoril?

Our pick is FC Porto to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?

On our numbers FC Porto have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Estoril 13%.

How many goals will there be in FC Porto vs Estoril?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Porto vs Estoril?

Our predicted score is FC Porto 1–0 Estoril, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is FC Porto vs Estoril?

FC Porto vs Estoril (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.