Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultEstrela to win ✗39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Moreirense vs Estrela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Moreirense v Estrela in the Primeira Liga, played at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. In the table, Moreirense are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Estrela are 12th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Moreirense, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Estoril, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Estrela, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Casa Pia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moreirense 1.6 xG, Estrela 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moreirense 37%, draw 23%, Estrela 39%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreirense 1–1 Estrela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moreirense37%fair 2.68 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Estrela39%fair 2.54 · @2.45
3.22Expected goals
1.59Moreirense xG
1.63Estrela xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Moreirense 1.6 – 1.6 Estrela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estrela to win✗
39%
2.54
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Estrela (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Moreirense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Estrela to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estrela / FT Estrela✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.82
–
Recent results
Moreirense – last 6
WLLDWL
25 Oct
@ Estoril
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ AVS
0–1
L
9 Oct
vs GIL Vicente
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Vitória SC
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs Maritimo
3–1
W
9 Sep
vs Benfica
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estrela – last 6
LWLLDW
24 Oct
vs Casa Pia
0–2
L
17 Oct
@ Fazendense
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Arouca
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Academico Viseu
0–2
L
14 Sep
@ Rio Ave
3–3
D
10 Sep
vs SC Braga
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreirense and Estrela.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Moreirense vs Estrela?
On our numbers Moreirense have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estrela 39%.
How many goals will there be in Moreirense vs Estrela?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs Estrela?
Our predicted score is Moreirense 1–1 Estrela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Moreirense vs Estrela?
Moreirense vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
