Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP to win ✓74% · @1.17
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the Primeira Liga brings Sporting CP against Moreirense. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Sporting CP are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; Moreirense are 9th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Sporting CP, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Shakhtar Donetsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Moreirense, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Estrela, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP 2.5 xG, Moreirense 0.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP 74%, draw 14%, Moreirense 11%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP 3–0 Moreirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting CP74%fair 1.34 · @1.17
Draw14%fair 6.98 · @7.00
Moreirense11%fair 8.85 · @17.00
3.28Expected goals
2.46Sporting CP xG
0.82Moreirense xG
54%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–09%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Sporting CP 2.5 – 0.8 Moreirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✓
74%
1.34
1.17
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting CP (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Sporting CP -1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
First team to score
Sporting CP to score first✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✗
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Sporting CP – last 6
WWWLLW
3 Nov
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
1–0
W
30 Oct
@ Casa Pia
2–0
W
27 Oct
vs Maritimo
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Academico Viseu
1–2
L
21 Oct
vs Lask Linz
2–3
L
13 Oct
@ Lens
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Moreirense – last 6
WWLLDW
31 Oct
vs Estrela
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Estoril
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ AVS
0–1
L
9 Oct
vs GIL Vicente
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Vitória SC
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs Maritimo
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP and Moreirense.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
On our numbers Sporting CP have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Moreirense 11%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP 3–0 Moreirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Sporting CP vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
