GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the Premier League brings GAP Connah S Quay FC against Caernarfon Town at Essity Stadium. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 16 matches; Caernarfon Town are 6th (upper half) with 29.
Current form
GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Ballkani, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Caernarfon Town, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to FC Levadia Tallinn, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Caernarfon Town 2–4 GAP Connah S Quay FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GAP Connah S Quay FC 1.8 xG, Caernarfon Town 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GAP Connah S Quay FC 49%, draw 23%, Caernarfon Town 28%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–1 Caernarfon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GAP Connah S Quay FC49%fair 2.04 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
Caernarfon Town28%fair 3.60 · @3.00
2.92Expected goals
1.78GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
1.14Caernarfon Town xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 1.8 – 1.1 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✗
49%
2.04
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Draw no bet
GAP Connah S Quay FC (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Caernarfon Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
GAP Connah S Quay FC to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✗
What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Caernarfon Town 28%.
How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–1 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
