Penybont vs The New Saints: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Penybont v The New Saints in the Premier League, played at Bryntirion Park. In the table, Penybont are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 15 matches; The New Saints are 1st (leading the league) with 44.
Current form
Penybont, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FC Santa Coloma, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
The New Saints, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Flora Tallinn, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours The New Saints, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Penybont.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penybont 1.0 xG, The New Saints 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penybont 20%, draw 24%, The New Saints 56%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penybont 1–1 The New Saints. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penybont20%fair 5.11 · @5.00
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.95
The New Saints56%fair 1.78 · @1.55
2.67Expected goals
0.97Penybont xG
1.71The New Saints xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Penybont 1.0 – 1.7 The New Saints expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✗
56%
1.78
1.55
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
The New Saints (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Penybont +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
The New Saints to score first✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Penybont – last 5
LLLLL
16 Jul
@ FC Santa Coloma
0–3
L
9 Jul
vs FC Santa Coloma
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Barry Town
0–2
L
3 Mar
@ Barry Town
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Colwyn Bay
1–3
L
0.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
The New Saints – last 6
WLLLWD
30 Jul
vs Flora Tallinn
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Flora Tallinn
0–1
L
14 Jul
vs Sabah FA
1–2
L
7 Jul
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
26 Jun
@ H&W Welders
2–1
W
24 Jun
@ Glentoran
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penybont and The New Saints.
What is the prediction for Penybont vs The New Saints?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Penybont vs The New Saints?
On our numbers Penybont have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and The New Saints 56%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs The New Saints?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs The New Saints?
Our predicted score is Penybont 1–1 The New Saints, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs The New Saints?
Penybont vs The New Saints (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
