GAP Connah S Quay FC 65%Draw 21%Haverfordwest County AFC 13%Expected goals 2.10 – 0.86
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✗65% · @1.36
Double chanceGAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 4 September: GAP Connah S Quay FC v Haverfordwest County AFC in the Premier League, played at Essity Stadium. In the table, GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 16 matches; Haverfordwest County AFC are 11th (lower half) with 16. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Flint Town United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Haverfordwest County AFC, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Trefelin, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours GAP Connah S Quay FC, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Haverfordwest County AFC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.1 xG, Haverfordwest County AFC 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GAP Connah S Quay FC 65%, draw 21%, Haverfordwest County AFC 13%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–0 Haverfordwest County AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GAP Connah S Quay FC65%fair 1.54 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.60
Haverfordwest County AFC13%fair 7.41 · @6.40
2.96Expected goals
2.10GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
0.86Haverfordwest County AFC xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.1 – 0.9 Haverfordwest County AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✗
65%
1.54
1.36
Double chance
GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
GAP Connah S Quay FC (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
GAP Connah S Quay FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
GAP Connah S Quay FC to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
GAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6
WWWWWL
31 Aug
@ Flint Town United
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs Cambrian & Clydach
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Trefelin
6–0
W
7 Aug
@ Holywell
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Caernarfon Town
1–2
L
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Haverfordwest County AFC – last 6
WLLLLL
31 Aug
vs Trefelin
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Llandudno
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–3
L
14 Aug
vs Penybont
0–3
L
7 Aug
@ The New Saints
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Airbus UK
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GAP Connah S Quay FC and Haverfordwest County AFC.
What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Haverfordwest County AFC 13%.
How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–0 Haverfordwest County AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
