Penybont 47%Draw 23%Colwyn Bay 30%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.19
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultPenybont to win ✓47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Penybont vs Colwyn Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Penybont welcome Colwyn Bay to Bryntirion Park for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 5 September (12:30 WAT). In the table, Penybont are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 15 matches; Colwyn Bay are 4th (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Penybont, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cambrian & Clydach, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Colwyn Bay, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Llandudno, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Colwyn Bay 3–1 Penybont.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penybont 1.6 xG, Colwyn Bay 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penybont 47%, draw 23%, Colwyn Bay 30%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penybont 1–1 Colwyn Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penybont47%fair 2.14 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Colwyn Bay30%fair 3.32 · @3.30
2.75Expected goals
1.56Penybont xG
1.19Colwyn Bay xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Penybont 1.6 – 1.2 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers Penybont have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colwyn Bay 30%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is Penybont 1–1 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
Penybont vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
