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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

The New Saints v Barry Town: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Park Hall
1–0
FT
The New Saints 71%Draw 18%Barry Town 11% Expected goals 2.61 – 0.97
71%
Betarazi pick

The New Saints to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultThe New Saints to win ✓71% · @1.25
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85

The New Saints vs Barry Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barry Town travel to face The New Saints on Saturday 5 September in the Premier League, with Park Hall the venue – the ball rolls at 17:15 WAT. In the table, The New Saints are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 16 matches; Barry Town are 7th (upper half) with 29. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

The New Saints, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Caernarfon Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Barry Town, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Briton Ferry, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give The New Saints 2.6 xG, Barry Town 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – The New Saints 71%, draw 18%, Barry Town 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was The New Saints to win (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: The New Saints 2–0 Barry Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

The New Saints71%fair 1.40 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.00
Barry Town11%fair 9.35 · @10.00
3.58Expected goals
2.61The New Saints xG
0.97Barry Town xG
57%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%

From our goals model: The New Saints 2.6 – 1.0 Barry Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultThe New Saints to win ✓71%1.401.25
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓89%1.121.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.95 ▲
Draw no betThe New Saints (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapThe New Saints -1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
First team to scoreThe New Saints to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultThe New Saints ahead at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT The New Saints / FT The New Saints ✗49%2.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.85–

Recent results

The New Saints – last 6

WWWWWD
31 Aug@ Caernarfon Town3–2W
28 Augvs Colwyn Bay5–1W
21 Aug@ Cardiff MET5–0W
14 Augvs Briton Ferry1–0W
7 Augvs Haverfordwest County AFC2–0W
2 Aug@ Penybont0–0D
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Barry Town – last 6

WWWWWW
31 Aug@ Briton Ferry4–1W
28 Augvs Airbus UK4–2W
21 Aug@ Holywell3–1W
15 Augvs Cardiff MET1–0W
7 Aug@ Flint Town United3–2W
31 Julvs Cambrian & Clydach2–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between The New Saints and Barry Town.

The New Saints vs Barry Town head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Barry Town?

Our pick is The New Saints to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win The New Saints vs Barry Town?

On our numbers The New Saints have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Barry Town 11%.

How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Barry Town?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Barry Town?

Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–0 Barry Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is The New Saints vs Barry Town?

The New Saints vs Barry Town (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.