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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Airbus UK v Caernarfon Town: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · The Airfield
3–2
FT
Airbus UK 31%Draw 21%Caernarfon Town 48% Expected goals 1.65 – 2.06
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultCaernarfon Town to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65

Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Friday 30 October: Airbus UK v Caernarfon Town in the Premier League, played at The Airfield. In the table, Airbus UK are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 16 matches; Caernarfon Town are 6th (upper half) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Airbus UK, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Cambrian & Clydach, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Caernarfon Town, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Briton Ferry, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Airbus UK 1.6 xG, Caernarfon Town 2.1 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Airbus UK 31%, draw 21%, Caernarfon Town 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Airbus UK 1–2 Caernarfon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Airbus UK31%fair 3.23 · @3.20
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Caernarfon Town48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
3.71Expected goals
1.65Airbus UK xG
2.06Caernarfon Town xG
66%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%

From our goals model: Airbus UK 1.6 – 2.1 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaernarfon Town to win ✗48%2.102.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.55
Draw no betCaernarfon Town (draw no bet) ✗61%1.65–
Asian handicapAirbus UK +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
First team to scoreCaernarfon Town to score first54%1.84–
Half-time resultCaernarfon Town ahead at half-time ✗38%2.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town ✗30%3.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.65–

Recent results

Airbus UK – last 6

WLWWLW
23 Oct@ Cambrian & Clydach3–2W
16 Octvs The New Saints1–2L
9 Oct@ Llandudno4–1W
3 Octvs Trefelin3–0W
26 Sep@ Penybont1–2L
18 Sepvs Flint Town United4–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Caernarfon Town – last 6

WWWLDW
23 Octvs Briton Ferry3–1W
17 Oct@ Flint Town United3–1W
9 Oct@ Haverfordwest County AFC2–1W
3 Octvs Barry Town0–1L
26 Sep@ Cardiff MET2–2D
18 Sepvs Cambrian & Clydach9–1W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Airbus UK and Caernarfon Town.

Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town?

On our numbers Airbus UK have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Caernarfon Town 48%.

How many goals will there be in Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town?

Our predicted score is Airbus UK 1–2 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town?

Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Airfield.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.