Barry Town 63%Draw 19%Trefelin 18%Expected goals 2.29 – 1.14
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarry Town to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceBarry Town or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Barry Town vs Trefelin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Trefelin travel to face Barry Town on Friday 30 October in the Premier League, with Jenner Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Barry Town are 7th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Trefelin are 15th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Barry Town, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Haverfordwest County AFC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Trefelin, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Flint Town United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barry Town 2.3 xG, Trefelin 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barry Town 63%, draw 19%, Trefelin 18%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barry Town 2–1 Trefelin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barry Town63%fair 1.58 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @4.40
Trefelin18%fair 5.60 · @6.50
3.43Expected goals
2.29Barry Town xG
1.14Trefelin xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Barry Town 2.3 – 1.1 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barry Town to win✓
63%
1.58
1.40
Double chance
Barry Town or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Barry Town (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Barry Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Barry Town to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Barry Town ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barry Town / FT Barry Town✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Barry Town – last 6
LWLWLL
24 Oct
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–3
L
17 Oct
vs Tredegar Town
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Penybont
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Caernarfon Town
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–4
L
18 Sep
@ Colwyn Bay
2–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trefelin – last 6
LWWLLD
23 Oct
vs Flint Town United
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Llantwit Major
4–1
W
9 Oct
@ Cardiff MET
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ Airbus UK
0–3
L
26 Sep
vs The New Saints
1–3
L
18 Sep
@ Briton Ferry
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barry Town and Trefelin.
What is the prediction for Barry Town vs Trefelin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Barry Town vs Trefelin?
On our numbers Barry Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Trefelin 18%.
How many goals will there be in Barry Town vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barry Town vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is Barry Town 2–1 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Barry Town vs Trefelin?
Barry Town vs Trefelin (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Jenner Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
