Cardiff MET 16%Draw 23%Penybont 61%Expected goals 0.96 – 2.00
84%
Betarazi pick
Penybont or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Penybont to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPenybont to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chancePenybont or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Cardiff MET vs Penybont: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cardiff MET welcome Penybont to Cyncoed Campus for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 31 October (13:30 WAT). In the table, Cardiff MET are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Penybont are 3rd (among the top four) with 36.
Current form
Cardiff MET, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Colwyn Bay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Penybont, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Afan Lido, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Penybont, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Cardiff MET.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff MET 1.0 xG, Penybont 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff MET 16%, draw 23%, Penybont 61%.
Lower-risk option: Penybont or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Penybont to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Penybont or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff MET 0–2 Penybont. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cardiff MET16%fair 6.11 · @3.80
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Penybont61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
2.96Expected goals
0.96Cardiff MET xG
2.00Penybont xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Cardiff MET 1.0 – 2.0 Penybont expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penybont to win✓
61%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Penybont or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Penybont (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Penybont -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Penybont to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Penybont ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penybont / FT Penybont✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Cardiff MET – last 6
DWLWWD
23 Oct
@ Colwyn Bay
2–2
D
16 Oct
vs Ynyshir Albions
4–0
W
9 Oct
vs Trefelin
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Llandudno
1–0
W
29 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Caernarfon Town
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Penybont – last 6
WWLWWW
18 Oct
@ Afan Lido
3–2
W
9 Oct
vs Barry Town
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Airbus UK
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Ammanford AFC
5–1
W
15 Sep
vs Briton Ferry
3–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff MET and Penybont.
What is the prediction for Cardiff MET vs Penybont?
Our pick is Penybont or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cardiff MET vs Penybont?
On our numbers Cardiff MET have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Penybont 61%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff MET vs Penybont?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff MET vs Penybont?
Our predicted score is Cardiff MET 0–2 Penybont, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cardiff MET vs Penybont?
Cardiff MET vs Penybont (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Cyncoed Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
