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The New Saints v GAP Connah S Quay FC: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Park Hall
The New Saints 71%Draw 17%GAP Connah S Quay FC 13% Expected goals 2.56 – 1.01
71%
Betarazi pick

The New Saints to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultThe New Saints to win ✗71% · @1.30
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74

The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

GAP Connah S Quay FC travel to face The New Saints on Saturday 31 October in the Premier League, with Park Hall the venue – the ball rolls at 18:15 WAT. In the table, The New Saints are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 16 matches; GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 38.

Current form

The New Saints, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 9–0 win over Ammanford AFC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 5.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Llandudno, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended The New Saints 2–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: The New Saints 2 wins, GAP Connah S Quay FC 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give The New Saints 2.6 xG, GAP Connah S Quay FC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – The New Saints 71%, draw 17%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was The New Saints to win (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: The New Saints 2–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

The New Saints71%fair 1.41 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @5.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC13%fair 7.95 · @8.50
3.57Expected goals
2.56The New Saints xG
1.01GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
53%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: The New Saints 2.6 – 1.0 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultThe New Saints to win ✗71%1.411.30
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓87%1.141.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.91
Draw no betThe New Saints (draw no bet)85%1.18–
Asian handicapThe New Saints -1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
First team to scoreThe New Saints to score first ✗70%1.43–
Half-time resultThe New Saints ahead at half-time ✗53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT The New Saints / FT The New Saints ✗48%2.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.74–

Recent results

The New Saints – last 6

WWWWWW
23 Octvs Ammanford AFC9–0W
16 Oct@ Airbus UK2–1W
9 Oct@ Holywell6–1W
3 Octvs Cambrian & Clydach9–0W
26 Sep@ Trefelin3–1W
19 Sepvs Llandudno2–1W
5.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6

WWWWWW
24 Octvs Llandudno2–0W
16 Octvs Porthmadog4–0W
9 Oct@ Briton Ferry2–1W
3 Octvs Penybont1–0W
26 Sep@ Barry Town4–1W
18 Sepvs Cardiff MET1–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026The New Saints v GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1
3 Mar 2026GAP Connah S Quay FC v The New Saints1–2
The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our pick is The New Saints to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

On our numbers The New Saints have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 13%.

How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.