Penybont 42%Draw 22%Caernarfon Town 36%Expected goals 1.66 – 1.52
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.56 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.56Odds
Picks by market
ResultPenybont to win ✓42% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 6 November: Penybont v Caernarfon Town in the Premier League, played at Bryntirion Park. In the table, Penybont are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 15 matches; Caernarfon Town are 6th (upper half) with 29.
Current form
Penybont, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Cardiff MET, away. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Caernarfon Town, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Airbus UK, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Penybont, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Caernarfon Town.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended Caernarfon Town 1–2 Penybont.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penybont 1.7 xG, Caernarfon Town 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penybont 42%, draw 22%, Caernarfon Town 36%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.56.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.56). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penybont 1–1 Caernarfon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penybont42%fair 2.38 · @2.34
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.20
Caernarfon Town36%fair 2.81 · @2.64
3.18Expected goals
1.66Penybont xG
1.52Caernarfon Town xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Penybont 1.7 – 1.5 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
On our numbers Penybont have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Caernarfon Town 36%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Our predicted score is Penybont 1–1 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Penybont vs Caernarfon Town (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
