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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Trefelin v Colwyn Bay: numbers & prediction

1–2
FT
Trefelin 10%Draw 20%Colwyn Bay 70% Expected goals 0.71 – 2.16
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultColwyn Bay to win ✓70% · @1.40
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.66

Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 6 November the Premier League brings Trefelin against Colwyn Bay. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Trefelin are 15th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 16 matches; Colwyn Bay are 4th (among the top four) with 32. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Trefelin, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Barry Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Colwyn Bay, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cambrian & Clydach, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Colwyn Bay, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Trefelin.

Head to head

When they last met (31 Jul 2026) it ended Colwyn Bay 2–0 Trefelin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Trefelin 0.7 xG, Colwyn Bay 2.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Trefelin 10%, draw 20%, Colwyn Bay 70%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trefelin 0–2 Colwyn Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Trefelin10%fair 10.19 · @6.25
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @4.33
Colwyn Bay70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
2.87Expected goals
0.71Trefelin xG
2.16Colwyn Bay xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
1–37%

From our goals model: Trefelin 0.7 – 2.2 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColwyn Bay to win ✓70%1.431.40
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓90%1.111.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.972.10 ▲
Draw no betColwyn Bay (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapColwyn Bay -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.14
First team to scoreColwyn Bay to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultColwyn Bay ahead at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay ✓47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.66–

Recent results

Trefelin – last 6

LLWWLL
30 Oct@ Barry Town0–3L
23 Octvs Flint Town United0–2L
17 Octvs Llantwit Major4–1W
9 Oct@ Cardiff MET3–1W
3 Oct@ Airbus UK0–3L
26 Sepvs The New Saints1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Colwyn Bay – last 6

WDDWLW
30 Octvs Cambrian & Clydach2–0W
23 Octvs Cardiff MET2–2D
17 Oct@ Buckley Town2–2D
10 Oct@ Flint Town United1–0W
3 Oct@ Briton Ferry0–1L
26 Sepvs Haverfordwest County AFC1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Jul 2026Colwyn Bay v Trefelin2–0
Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

On our numbers Trefelin have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Colwyn Bay 70%.

How many goals will there be in Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

Our predicted score is Trefelin 0–2 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.