1. FC Magdeburg 44%Draw 21%Holstein Kiel 35%Expected goals 2.02 – 1.80
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Holstein Kiel to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
Result1. FC Magdeburg to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.44
1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
1. FC Magdeburg welcome Holstein Kiel to Avnet Arena for a 2. Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 30 August (12:30 WAT). In the table, 1. FC Magdeburg are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; Holstein Kiel are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
1. FC Magdeburg, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Bahlinger SC, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Holstein Kiel, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over TSV 1860 München, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours 1. FC Magdeburg, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Holstein Kiel.
Head to head
When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Holstein Kiel 1–3 1. FC Magdeburg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 1. FC Magdeburg 2.0 xG, Holstein Kiel 1.8 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 1. FC Magdeburg 44%, draw 21%, Holstein Kiel 35%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Holstein Kiel to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: 1. FC Magdeburg 2–1 Holstein Kiel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
1. FC Magdeburg44%fair 2.28 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.70
Holstein Kiel35%fair 2.82 · @3.00
3.82Expected goals
2.021. FC Magdeburg xG
1.80Holstein Kiel xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: 1. FC Magdeburg 2.0 – 1.8 Holstein Kiel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?
On our numbers 1. FC Magdeburg have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Holstein Kiel 35%.
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?
Our predicted score is 1. FC Magdeburg 2–1 Holstein Kiel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?
1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Avnet Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
