Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: VfL Bochum to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVfL Bochum to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceVfL Bochum or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
VfL Bochum welcome SpVgg Greuther Fürth to Vonovia Ruhrstadion for a 2. Bundesliga fixture on Saturday 12 September (12:00 WAT). In the table, VfL Bochum are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 11 matches; SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 10th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
VfL Bochum, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dynamo Dresden, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to 1. FC Heidenheim, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours VfL Bochum, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–2 VfL Bochum. The last 2 head-to-heads: VfL Bochum 2 wins, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VfL Bochum 1.8 xG, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VfL Bochum 57%, draw 21%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 21%.
Lower-risk option: VfL Bochum or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: VfL Bochum to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was VfL Bochum or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: VfL Bochum 1–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VfL Bochum57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
SpVgg Greuther Fürth21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.78VfL Bochum xG
0.97SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: VfL Bochum 1.8 – 1.0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our pick is VfL Bochum or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
On our numbers VfL Bochum have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 21%.
How many goals will there be in VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our predicted score is VfL Bochum 1–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
