Value bet: VfL Wolfsburg to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVfL Wolfsburg to win ✗45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.81
FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the 2. Bundesliga brings FC St. Pauli against VfL Wolfsburg at Millerntor-Stadion. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, FC St. Pauli are 9th, upper half, on 12 points after 11 matches; VfL Wolfsburg are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
FC St. Pauli, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Arminia Bielefeld, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
VfL Wolfsburg, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Energie Cottbus, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours VfL Wolfsburg, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for FC St. Pauli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC St. Pauli 1.7 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 1.9 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC St. Pauli 34%, draw 21%, VfL Wolfsburg 45%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: VfL Wolfsburg to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC St. Pauli 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC St. Pauli34%fair 2.93 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.60
VfL Wolfsburg45%fair 2.22 · @2.45
3.63Expected goals
1.68FC St. Pauli xG
1.95VfL Wolfsburg xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–36%
0–15%
From our goals model: FC St. Pauli 1.7 – 1.9 VfL Wolfsburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfL Wolfsburg to win✗
45%
2.22
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.44
Draw no bet
VfL Wolfsburg (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
FC St. Pauli +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
VfL Wolfsburg to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
VfL Wolfsburg ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfL Wolfsburg / FT VfL Wolfsburg✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
FC St. Pauli – last 6
DLLDDD
4 Sep
@ Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Rot-Weiß Essen
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Holstein Kiel
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
VfL Wolfsburg – last 6
DWDWDW
5 Sep
vs Energie Cottbus
4–4
D
29 Aug
@ Karlsruher SC
5–2
W
24 Aug
@ Altglienicke
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Hannover 96
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–0
D
31 Jul
vs Telstar
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg.
What is the prediction for FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
On our numbers FC St. Pauli have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and VfL Wolfsburg 45%.
How many goals will there be in FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our predicted score is FC St. Pauli 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Millerntor-Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
