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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth: numbers & prediction

2. Bundesliga · Germany · Olympiastadion
2–1
FT
Hertha BSC 63%Draw 22%SpVgg Greuther Fürth 15% Expected goals 2.47 – 1.20
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultHertha BSC to win ✓63% · @1.55
Double chanceHertha BSC or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.72

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

SpVgg Greuther Fürth travel to face Hertha BSC on Sunday 11 October in the 2. Bundesliga, with Olympiastadion the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Hertha BSC are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 11 matches; SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 10th (lower half) with 12. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hertha BSC, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Augsburg, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to VfB Stuttgart, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hertha BSC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hertha BSC 2.5 xG, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.2 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hertha BSC 63%, draw 22%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hertha BSC or draw (85%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hertha BSC63%fair 1.59 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.20
SpVgg Greuther Fürth15%fair 6.83 · @4.80
3.67Expected goals
2.47Hertha BSC xG
1.20SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG
66%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–06%
1–06%

From our goals model: Hertha BSC 2.5 – 1.2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHertha BSC to win ✓63%1.591.55
Double chanceHertha BSC or draw ✓85%1.171.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.501.44
Draw no betHertha BSC (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapHertha BSC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%2.00–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
First team to scoreHertha BSC to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultHertha BSC ahead at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hertha BSC / FT Hertha BSC ✗43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.72–

Recent results

Hertha BSC – last 6

DWWWWW
2 Oct@ FC Augsburg2–2D
29 Sep@ Hertha Zehlendorf3–1W
19 Sep@ Dynamo Dresden2–1W
13 Sep@ VfL Osnabrück3–1W
6 Sepvs 1. FC Magdeburg2–1W
28 Aug@ Eintracht Braunschweig5–3W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

SpVgg Greuther Fürth – last 6

LDDLWL
1 Oct@ VfB Stuttgart0–5L
18 Sepvs 1. FC Magdeburg1–1D
12 Sep@ VfL Bochum1–1D
6 Sepvs 1. FC Heidenheim0–1L
29 Aug@ Energie Cottbus4–3W
23 Augvs VfL Bochum1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth2–1
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth head-to-head page →

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hertha BSC111010+1631
21. FC Nürnberg11731+1324
31. FC Kaiserslautern11632+321
41. FC Magdeburg11623+1120
5VfL Wolfsburg11542+1019
6Arminia Bielefeld11524+217
71. FC Heidenheim11443-116
8VfL Bochum11425-214
9FC St. Pauli11263-312
10SpVgg Greuther Fürth11335-612
11Hannover 9611335-612
12Energie Cottbus11254-211
13Eintracht Braunschweig11326-211
14VfL Osnabrück11326-411
15Dynamo Dresden11326-511
16Karlsruher SC11326-911
17SV Darmstadt 9811236-129
18Holstein Kiel11155-38

More 2. Bundesliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

On our numbers Hertha BSC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 15%.

How many goals will there be in Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our predicted score is Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Olympiastadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.