Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction & Expected Goals (16 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

Result1. FC Nürnberg to win ✗49% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.33

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.83

Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Energie Cottbus welcome 1. FC Nürnberg to Stadion der Freundschaft for a 2. Bundesliga fixture on Friday 16 October (17:30 WAT). In the table, Energie Cottbus are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; 1. FC Nürnberg are 2nd (among the top four) with 24. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Energie Cottbus, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to SV Darmstadt 98, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

1. FC Nürnberg, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with VfL Wolfsburg, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours 1. FC Nürnberg, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Energie Cottbus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Energie Cottbus 2.0 xG, 1. FC Nürnberg 2.4 xG – a total near 4.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 81% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Energie Cottbus 32%, draw 20%, 1. FC Nürnberg 49%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.33.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Energie Cottbus 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Energie Cottbus32%fair 3.14 · @3.00

Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.80

1. FC Nürnberg49%fair 2.06 · @2.00

4.36Expected goals

1.95Energie Cottbus xG

2.411. FC Nürnberg xG

70%Both score

81%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–27%

2–27%

1–16%

2–16%

1–36%

2–36%

From our goals model: Energie Cottbus 2.0 – 2.4 1. FC Nürnberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	1. FC Nürnberg to win ✗	49%	2.06	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	80%	1.24	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	70%	1.43	1.33
Draw no bet	1. FC Nürnberg (draw no bet)	60%	1.66	–
Asian handicap	Energie Cottbus +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	93%	1.07	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	81%	1.23	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	56%	1.79	–
First team to score	1. FC Nürnberg to score first	55%	1.83	–
Half-time result	1. FC Nürnberg ahead at half-time ✗	40%	2.53	–
Half-time / full-time	HT 1. FC Nürnberg / FT 1. FC Nürnberg ✗	31%	3.24	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	13.83	–

Energie Cottbus – last 6

LDDWDL

10 Oct	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1–3	L
3 Oct	@ Lech Poznan	2–2	D
20 Sep	vs FC St. Pauli	1–1	D
13 Sep	@ Karlsruher SC	3–0	W
5 Sep	@ VfL Wolfsburg	4–4	D
29 Aug	vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth	3–4	L

2.3Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

1. FC Nürnberg – last 6

DWWWDW

10 Oct	vs VfL Wolfsburg	4–4	D
2 Oct	vs FC Ingolstadt 04	3–1	W
19 Sep	@ Karlsruher SC	1–0	W
11 Sep	vs Hannover 96	2–1	W
5 Sep	@ Holstein Kiel	2–2	D
29 Aug	vs Arminia Bielefeld	4–1	W

2.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

2. Bundesliga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8

Team

Pts

+16

+13

+11

+10

-1

-2

-3

-6

-6

-2

Eintracht Braunschweig

-2

-4

-5

-9

-12

-3

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

On our numbers Energie Cottbus have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and 1. FC Nürnberg 49%.

How many goals will there be in Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our predicted score is Energie Cottbus 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.

When is Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion der Freundschaft.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg: numbers & prediction