Holstein Kiel 32%Draw 20%Hertha BSC 48%Expected goals 1.41 – 1.80
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Hertha BSC to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHertha BSC to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Holstein Kiel welcome Hertha BSC to Holstein-Stadion for a 2. Bundesliga fixture on Friday 16 October (17:30 WAT). In the table, Holstein Kiel are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Hertha BSC are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Holstein Kiel, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Eintracht Braunschweig, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Hertha BSC, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SpVgg Greuther Fürth, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Hertha BSC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Holstein Kiel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Holstein Kiel 1.4 xG, Hertha BSC 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Holstein Kiel 32%, draw 20%, Hertha BSC 48%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Hertha BSC to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holstein Kiel 1–1 Hertha BSC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Holstein Kiel32%fair 3.17 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.70
Hertha BSC48%fair 2.06 · @2.20
3.21Expected goals
1.41Holstein Kiel xG
1.80Hertha BSC xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Holstein Kiel 1.4 – 1.8 Hertha BSC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hertha BSC to win✗
48%
2.06
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.40
Draw no bet
Hertha BSC (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Holstein Kiel +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Hertha BSC to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hertha BSC / FT Hertha BSC✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Holstein Kiel – last 6
LWDLDL
9 Oct
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Viborg
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs VfL Osnabrück
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ 1. FC Heidenheim
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ 1. FC Magdeburg
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hertha BSC – last 6
WDWWWW
11 Oct
vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2–1
W
2 Oct
@ FC Augsburg
2–2
D
29 Sep
@ Hertha Zehlendorf
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Dynamo Dresden
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ VfL Osnabrück
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC.
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
On our numbers Holstein Kiel have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hertha BSC 48%.
How many goals will there be in Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
Our predicted score is Holstein Kiel 1–1 Hertha BSC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Holstein-Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
