SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel Prediction & Expected Goals (1 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHolstein Kiel to win ✗40% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Sunday 1 November: SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga, played at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer. In the table, SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 10th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Holstein Kiel are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

SpVgg Greuther Fürth, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to VfL Osnabrück, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Holstein Kiel, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with 1899 Hoffenheim, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Holstein Kiel, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.3 xG, Holstein Kiel 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 64%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – SpVgg Greuther Fürth 39%, draw 21%, Holstein Kiel 40%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 Holstein Kiel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SpVgg Greuther Fürth39%fair 2.59 · @2.45

Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40

Holstein Kiel40%fair 2.50 · @2.50

2.72Expected goals

1.35SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

1.37Holstein Kiel xG

64%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–09%

1–28%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.3 – 1.4 Holstein Kiel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Holstein Kiel to win ✗	40%	2.50	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	64%	1.56	1.44
Draw no bet	Holstein Kiel (draw no bet) ✗	51%	1.97	–
Asian handicap	SpVgg Greuther Fürth +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	75%	1.32	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.96	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Holstein Kiel to score first ✗	47%	2.12	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.38	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Holstein Kiel / FT Holstein Kiel ✗	22%	4.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.95	–

SpVgg Greuther Fürth – last 6

LWLLDD

25 Oct	@ VfL Osnabrück	0–3	L
17 Oct	vs Eintracht Braunschweig	2–0	W
11 Oct	@ Hertha BSC	1–2	L
1 Oct	@ VfB Stuttgart	0–5	L
18 Sep	vs 1. FC Magdeburg	1–1	D
12 Sep	@ VfL Bochum	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Holstein Kiel – last 6

DWDLWD

28 Oct	vs 1899 Hoffenheim	1–1	D
25 Oct	vs Dynamo Dresden	3–0	W
16 Oct	vs Hertha BSC	0–0	D
9 Oct	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	0–1	L
3 Oct	vs Viborg	3–1	W
19 Sep	vs VfL Osnabrück	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8

Team

Pts

+16

+13

+11

+10

-1

-2

-3

-6

-6

-2

Eintracht Braunschweig

-2

-4

-5

-9

-12

-3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

On our numbers SpVgg Greuther Fürth have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Holstein Kiel 40%.

How many goals will there be in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

Our predicted score is SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 Holstein Kiel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel: numbers & prediction